Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt 12/31/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Cincinnati winning 42% of simulations, and Vanderbilt 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Cincinnati commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Vanderbilt wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Isaiah Pead is averaging 94 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Zac Stacy is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN -2

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